31 Jul · 00:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1549
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1597
FormLLWWW
45%
55%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 71% (34)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H20-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-14)