31 Jul · 00:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1614
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pruszkowski
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1544
FormLWWLL
58%
42%
🌟Lebek stays under total as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H16-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)