31 Jul · 00:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1570
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Zelezik
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1483
FormLLLWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 42% · 2.40· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+87
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)