30 Jul · 23:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1319
FormWLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rolak
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1267
FormLWLLW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Eliasz🌟Rolak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Rolak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 35% · 2.84· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H4-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)