31 Jul · 00:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1389
FormLLLWL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1597
FormLLWWW
28%
72%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 71% (34)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+208
H2H23-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+208)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-6)