31 Jul · 01:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1371
FormWWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kotwica
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1259
FormLLWLL
62%
38%
🔥 Underdog lean · Eliasz🌟Kotwica rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (12)
Fair odds · Kotwica
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 32% · 3.11· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H22-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-18)