31 Jul · 01:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1549
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1608
FormLWLWL
44%
56%
🌟Lebek stays under total as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+59
H2H43-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)