31 Jul · 01:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1322
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Trela
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1378
FormLLLWW
44%
56%
🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Trela
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H11-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)