31 Jul · 01:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1493
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Gesiarz
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1423
FormLLWLL
58%
42%
🌟Gesiarz stays under total as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 53% · 1.87· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)