31 Jul · 01:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1470
FormWWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Baron
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1406
FormLLLWW
57%
43%
🌟Baron rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (46)
Fair odds · Baron
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 57% · 1.77· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+64
H2H14-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-3)