31 Jul · 03:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1484
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Gesiarz
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1416
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Gesiarz stays under total as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+68
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)