31 Jul · 03:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1591
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pruszkowski
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1538
FormWWLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H37-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-21)