31 Jul · 03:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1269
FormWWLLL
82%Win chancemodel fair 1.22Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1610
FormWWWLL
18%
82%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 71% (34)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 82% · 1.22vsMarket 88% · 1.14· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~73 pts
0-3
41%
1-3
29%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+341
H2H18-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+341)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-5)