31 Jul · 05:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1440
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Klocek
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1455
FormWLWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Klocek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H0-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.