31 Jul · 04:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1485
FormLWWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1606
FormWLLWL
37%
63%
🌟Baron covers set handicap as underdog 64% (36)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+121
H2H18-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-7)