31 Jul · 03:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1395
FormLLLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1606
FormWLLWL
28%
72%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~77 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+211
H2H25-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+211)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-1)