31 Jul · 06:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1466
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Dabrowski
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1455
FormWLWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.