31 Jul · 06:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1499
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mleczko
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1450
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Mleczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (24)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H17-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-11)