31 Jul · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1510
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1572
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 66% (32)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 47% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+62
H2H4-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)