31 Jul · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1395
FormLWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Klocek
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1457
FormWLWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Klocek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+62
H2H21-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-14)