31 Jul · 08:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1283
FormLLLWL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1590
FormWWLWW
20%
80%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 70% (30)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~77 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+307
H2H13-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+307)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-4)