31 Jul · 08:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1472
FormWWLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1602
FormWLWWW
36%
64%
🌟Adamus goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~80 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+130
H2H32-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-11)