31 Jul · 08:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1452
FormLLLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1590
FormWWLWW
35%
65%
🔥 Underdog lean · Paszkiewicz🌟Paszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 92% (13)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+138
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)