31 Jul · 11:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1392
FormLWLLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1627
FormWLWWL
26%
74%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+235
H2H11-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+235)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-8)