31 Jul · 10:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1428
FormWLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Wrzalik
WB
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1349
FormLLWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Wrzalik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)