31 Jul · 10:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1440
FormLLWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Malinowski
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1274
FormLWLLW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Malinowski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+166
H2H16-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-8)