31 Jul · 10:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1477
FormLWWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1605
FormWLWLW
36%
64%
🌟Adamus goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~80 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+128
H2H27-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-18)