31 Jul · 10:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1627
FormWWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1627
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H16-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.