31 Jul · 12:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1487
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mleczko
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1443
FormWLLWW
55%
45%
🌟Mleczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (24)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)