31 Jul · 11:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WB
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1349
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kaczmarek
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1396
FormWLWLW
45%
55%
🌟Kaczmarek goes over total as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Kaczmarek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)