31 Jul · 11:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1591
FormWWLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Hetnar
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1473
FormLLWWW
63%
37%
🌟Adamus goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+118
H2H29-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-25)