31 Jul · 11:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1504
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1506
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (26)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H49-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.