31 Jul · 11:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1477
FormWWWLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1609
FormWWLWL
36%
64%
🌟Paszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 92% (13)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~79 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+132
H2H23-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-3)