31 Jul · 11:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1636
FormWWWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Wichowski
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1428
FormWLLLL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+208
H2H30-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+208)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-16)