31 Jul · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1443
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Malinowski
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1417
FormLWWWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Malinowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+26
H2H17-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.