31 Jul · 11:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1658
FormLWLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Poliniewicz
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1538
FormLLWLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+120
H2H79-101
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)