31 Jul · 13:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1434
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dabrowski
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1456
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+22
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.