31 Jul · 12:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1506
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Zochniak
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1456
FormWWWLL
56%
44%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (26)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H26-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-9)