31 Jul · 18:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski
ELO 1570
FormWLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Daniel
AD
🇵🇱Artur Daniel
ELO 1688
FormWLLLW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Daniel
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+118
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)