31 Jul · 18:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1510
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Juszczyk
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1491
FormWWLLW
52%
48%
🌟Urban covers set handicap as underdog 67% (15)
Fair odds · Juszczyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H14-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.