31 Jul · 22:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Durak
ELO 1577
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Durak
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1509
FormLWWWW
58%
42%
🌟Urban covers set handicap as underdog 67% (15)
Fair odds · Durak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+68
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)