1 Aug · 01:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1575
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Koczyba
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1509
FormLWWWW
57%
43%
🌟Urban covers set handicap as underdog 67% (15)
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H23-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-14)