1 Aug · 00:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1544
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Szostok
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1509
FormLWWWW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Urban🌟Urban covers set handicap as underdog 67% (15)
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+35
H2H26-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.