31 Jul · 21:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Kowalski
ELO 1296
FormLLLLW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1509
FormLWWWW
28%
72%
🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (31)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+213
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+213)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)