31 Jul · 23:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1496
FormWLWWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Schaniel
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1248
FormLLLLW
75%
25%
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~76 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+248
H2H14-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+248)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-8)