1 Aug · 00:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1486
FormLWWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Adamus
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1372
FormLWWLL
62%
38%
🌟Adamus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (16)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)