1 Aug · 00:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1375
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Trela
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1320
FormLWWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Trela
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+55
H2H30-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-12)