1 Aug · 01:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1594
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Oracz
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1655
FormLLLWW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krutak🌟Krutak covers set handicap as underdog 69% (16)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)