1 Aug · 02:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1408
FormLWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Ruszkiewicz
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1336
FormLLLWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Ruszkiewicz
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 33% · 3.07· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+72
H2H16-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)