1 Aug · 02:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1439
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Myszewski
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1387
FormWLWLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Myszewski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)